Vietnam Promulgates Amendments to Individual Income Tax Law

On December 10, 2025, the National Assembly of Vietnam passed amendments to the Individual Income Tax Law, which will take effect on July 1, 2026.

The specific contents include:

(1) New scope of taxable income: income from the transfer of Vietnam’s national internet domain name “.vn”; income from the transfer of greenhouse gas emission reduction achievements and carbon credits; income from the transfer of digital assets; income from the transfer of gold bars (levied at 0.1% of the transfer price); income from agency, brokerage and business cooperation activities; income from e-commerce and digital platform operation activities;

(2) New types of personal income tax exemption: income from the transfer of emission reduction certificates; income from the first transfer of carbon credits; interest income from green bonds; initial transfer income after the issuance of green bonds; wages and salaries earned from scientific, technological and innovative work; copyright income from work related to science, technology and innovation (and the results of such work have been commercialized); income obtained by individual investors and experts from innovative start-up projects;

(3) Tax exemption for digital talents: high-quality talents in the digital technology industry who meet one of the following conditions can enjoy a 5-year personal income tax exemption on their wages and salaries: Firstly, income from digital technology industry projects within digital technology parks. ; secondly, income from R&D projects and the production of key digital technology products, semiconductor chips, and artificial intelligence systems; thirdly, income from human resource training activities; fourthly, personal income from R&D activities in fields listed in the High-Tech Law or the Strategic Technology List;

(4) Adjusting the taxable income threshold for individual businesses: The threshold for individual income tax for individual businesses is raised from 200 million VND to 500 million VND; those with annual income exceeding 500 million VND but not exceeding 3 billion VND may choose to apply a 15% tax rate; those with annual income exceeding 3 billion VND but not exceeding 50 billion VND are subject to a 17% tax rate; those with annual income exceeding 50 billion VND are subject to a 20% tax rate;

(5) Unified provisions for taxation of capital transfer income for residents and non-residents: For capital transfer income of residents and non-residents, if the purchase price and reasonable expenses related to the capital transfer income can be determined, individual income tax will be levied at 20% of each transfer income; if it cannot be determined, it will be levied at 2% of the transfer price; securities transfer income is taxed at a rate of 0.1%.

Vietnam Passes New Tax Administration Law

On December 10, 2025, the National Assembly of Vietnam passed the Tax Administration Law No. 108/2025/QH15. This law will replace the Tax Administration Law No. 38/2019/QH14 promulgated on June 13, 2019, and the provisions amended and supplemented by Law No. 56/2024/QH15.

Most provisions of the new law will take effect on July 1, 2026. Articles 13 and 26, concerning the declaration, settlement, tax deduction, and use of electronic invoices for businesses and individual merchants, have already taken effect on January 1, 2026.

Main revisions include:

(1) Expanding the scope of taxpayers. Taxpayers include foreign organizations and individuals engaged in business activities or deriving income in Vietnam, as well as foreign organizations and individuals conducting business on e-commerce platforms and other digital platforms;

(2) Strengthening tax administration for e-commerce and digital platforms. E-commerce and digital platform operators are required to collect and pay taxes on behalf of overseas platform merchants. Merchants must independently calculate their income from the production and operation of tax-exempt or non-taxable goods and services in accordance with the regulations on value-added tax and individual income tax, and truthfully declare their annual income to the tax authorities;

(3) Shortening the period for correcting errors in tax returns. The period for taxpayers to correct errors or omissions in their submitted tax return materials after the tax return deadline is shortened from 10 years to 5 years;

(4) Clarifying transitional arrangements. Tax arrears that are not paid by June 30, 2026, will be handled in accordance with the new law; tax exemptions or reductions incurred before July 1, 2026, will continue to be handled in accordance with the old law; tax inspections that have been initiated before July 1, 2026, but for which no conclusion or decision has yet been issued, will continue to be carried out in accordance with the old law.

Guangdong’s GDP to Reach 14.58 Trillion Yuan in 2025

On the morning of January 26, the Fifth Session of the 14th Guangdong Provincial People’s Congress opened at the Century Hall of the Guangzhou Baiyun International Convention Center. At the meeting, Governor Meng Fanli delivered the government work report to the Congress.

The government work report shows that in 2025, Guangdong’s GDP will reach 14.58 trillion yuan, a 3.9% increase, ranking first in the country for the 37th consecutive year. Local general public budget revenue will increase by 3%.

The total value of imports and exports of goods will reach 9.5 trillion yuan, a 4.4% increase, contributing 24.1% of China’s total GDP growth.

International Business News

엔화 강세가 예상될까요?

엔화 환율은 2026년부터 강한 지지선을 형성할 것으로 예상됩니다. 엔화 약세를 막는 요인은 정부와 중앙은행의 환율 개입 우려 외에도 여러 가지가 있습니다.

역사적으로 엔화 환율은 매년 초에 큰 변동을 보이며, 이로 인해 엔화 강세에 대한 추측이 제기되어 왔습니다.

1월 6일 도쿄 외환시장에서 엔화는 달러 대비 156.0~156.5엔까지 상승했는데, 이는 1월 5일 저점보다 약 1엔 높은 수준입니다. 엔화는 2025년 1월 저점인 158.80엔과 160엔 수준까지 횡보세를 유지할 것으로 예상됩니다.

하지만 외환시장 개입에 대한 우려는 여전히 남아 있습니다. 2025년 12월 말, 가타야마 사츠키 일본 재무장관은 블룸버그와의 인터뷰에서 일본이 환율에 개입할 “재량권”을 갖고 있으며, 이를 통해 엔화 약세 추세를 강력하게 억제할 수 있다고 밝혔습니다. 실제 개입 시점에 대해서는 의견이 분분하지만, 일본의 일방적인 추가 엔화 약세는 없을 것으로 예상됩니다. 다이와증권의 타니 에이치로 수석 전략가는 한국 당국의 원화 약세 억제 노력에 주목하고 있습니다.

한국은 12월 이후 “원화의 과도한 약세를 원치 않는다”는 등의 이유로 광범위한 구두 개입을 해왔습니다. 보도에 따르면 국민연금공단(NPS)은 환율 헤징을 통해 원화를 매입하여 환율을 지지해 왔으며, 현재 원화 대비 달러 환율은 12월보다 낮습니다.

원화와 엔화는 달러 대비 유사한 흐름을 보이고 있습니다. 두 통화 모두 투기적 활동에 취약하며, 양국이 관세 협상 과정에서 미국에 대규모 투자를 합의한 상황 등이 그 예입니다. 다이와증권의 타니는 “상황이 비슷한 한국에서 원화 평가절하 반등 모멘텀이 강화되고 있는 가운데, 일본 역시 엔화 평가절하를 바로잡기 위한 노력을 강화할 가능성이 있다”고 말했다.

또한 외환 시장 관계자들은 지난 3년간 연초에 반복적으로 나타나는 엔화 환율 변동 현상을 인지하고 있다.

2023년부터 2025년까지 엔화 환율은 1월에 반전되어 전년과 정반대 방향으로 움직일 것으로 예상된다. 이러한 반전 시점은 매년 다르다. 예를 들어, 2025년에는 일본은행의 1월 금리 인상과 트럼프 미국 대통령의 관세 정책으로 인해 엔화가 연초부터 급등했다.

많은 투자자들이 연말에 일시적으로 포지션을 정리하는 경향이 있다. 미즈호 증권의 외환 전략 책임자인 야마모토 마사후미는 “연초에는 거래 테마가 바뀌는 경향이 있는데, 지난해 말 예상과는 반대로 상황이 계속되고 있다”며, “따라서 1월과 2월이 차기 추세 형성의 출발점이 될 가능성이 높다”고 말했다.

그렇다면 올해 전망은 어떨까요? 한 대형 일본 은행의 외환 브로커는 “다카시무라 정부 하에서 악화되고 있던 재정 상황에 대한 우려가 점차 완화되고 있어 엔화 절상이 주류 시나리오가 될 것으로 개인적으로 생각한다”고 말했다. 시장 추세는 엔화 약세 지속이지만, 그는 “엔화가 더 절하될 것이라고 단정 지을 수는 없다”고 덧붙였다.

미쓰비시 UFJ 신탁은행 외환부 시장영업부장인 사카이 모토시게 역시 “전반적으로 엔화 약세와 경기 침체를 피할 수 없는 상황을 고려할 때, 엔화 환율이 미국 달러 대비 점차 절상으로 전환될 가능성이 있다”고 전망했다. 그는 또한 “일본 정부와 일본은행이 금리 인하에 얽매이지 않고 시장에 개입할 의지를 보이고 있어 현재 엔화를 적극적으로 공매도하기는 어렵다”고 언급했습니다.

환율 변동을 촉발할 수 있는 요인은 다양합니다. 미즈호 리서치 앤 테크놀로지의 수석 이코노미스트인 히가시카제 다케시는 2026년 3월과 4월에 예정된 봄철 노사 협상을 핵심 변수로 꼽으며, “임금 인상 방향이 확정될 경우 엔화는 상승 압력을 받을 것”이라고 분석했습니다.

더불어 미국 금리 추이도 주시해야 합니다. 히가시카제 수석 이코노미스트는 달러당 155엔 환율에서 미국 장기 금리가 1% 변동할 경우 엔화 환율이 약 12엔 정도 변동할 것으로 예상했습니다. 엔-달러 환율은 미국 금리에 매우 민감하며, 미국 금리 변동은 환율 움직임에 큰 영향을 미칩니다.

미쓰비시 UFJ 신탁은행의 사카이는 “이전에는 미국 정부 셧다운으로 정확한 경제 데이터가 부족해 환율이 형성되었지만, 9일에 발표된 12월 미국 고용 데이터를 시작으로 경제 상황을 최종적으로 확정할 수 있게 됐다”고 지적하며, “이 데이터가 엔-달러 환율의 선행지표가 될 수 있을 것”이라고 전망했다.

한편, 미국 상품선물거래위원회(CFTC)는 2025년 12월 30일 기준 헤지펀드를 비롯한 비상업적 부문에서 엔화 포지션을 소폭 순매수했다고 밝혔다. 연말에 이르러 포지션 조정은 대부분 마무리되었고, 투기 세력은 거의 중립적인 수준으로 복귀했다. 이러한 환경은 투자자들이 2026년 추세 변화에 주목하며 움직이기 시작할 수 있는 토대를 제공한다.

China and Russia Reach High-Level Consensus on Japan-Related Issues

Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian held a regular press conference on the 5th. At the conference, a Russian media reporter asked about the consensus reached between Russia and China on issues related to Japan.

Lin Jian: This year marks the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japan and the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Soviet Union’s Great Patriotic War. The heads of state of both countries attended commemorative activities this year and unanimously agreed to firmly safeguard the achievements of the victory in World War II, resolutely oppose any attempts to rewrite the history of colonial aggression, and send a strong message of upholding justice and fairness.

During the recent China-Russia strategic security consultations, China and Russia conducted strategic alignment on issues related to Japan and reached a high-level consensus. They agreed to firmly safeguard the achievements of the victory in World War II, won with lives and blood, resolutely resist any erroneous words and deeds that attempt to rewrite the history of colonial aggression, resolutely counter any attempts by fascism and Japanese militarism to make a comeback, and shoulder the shared responsibilities of China and Russia as major powers and permanent members of the UN Security Council to safeguard world peace and security, and uphold historical truth and international justice.

China is willing to continue coordinating and cooperating with Russia to resolutely curb the provocative actions of Japan’s far-right forces that undermine regional peace and stability and attempt to remilitarize the region.

source:《International Business News

캐논 중산 공장 생산 중단

캐논 중산 공장은 2025년 11월 21일 생산을 중단한다고 발표했습니다. 주요 이유는 레이저 프린터 시장 위축과 국내 브랜드와의 경쟁 심화입니다. 직원들에 대한 보상도 동시에 진행될 예정입니다.

캐논 중산 공장 생산 중단 관련 최신 소식

중단 확인: 캐논(중국)은 중산 공장이 11월 21일 생산을 중단했으며, 직원들은 28일까지 임시 휴무에 들어갔다고 공식 발표했습니다.

핵심 이유:

세계 레이저 프린터 시장은 지속적으로 위축되고 있으며, 국내 브랜드의 급격한 성장은 시장 점유율을 축소하고 있습니다.

종이 없는 사무실 환경의 확산은 산업 변화를 가속화하고 있으며, 이로 인해 기존 사무용 프린터에 대한 수요가 급격히 감소하고 있습니다.

운영 데이터: 2001년 설립된 이 공장은 누적 레이저 프린터 1억 1천만 대를 생산했으며, 2022년 산업 총생산액은 약 32억 위안에 달했습니다. 최대 규모였던 1만 명에 달했던 직원 수는 2024년 현재 3,372명으로 감소했습니다. 직원 배치: 11월 30일 기준, 일부 직원은 기밀 유지 계약에 따라 보상을 받았습니다. 구체적인 계획에는 경제적 보상 및 재취업 지원이 포함됩니다.

Canon’s Zhongshan Factory Ceases Production

Canon’s Zhongshan factory has confirmed that it will cease production on November 21, 2025. The main reasons are the shrinking laser printer market and intensified competition from domestic brands. Employee compensation is being processed concurrently.

Latest Developments Regarding the Canon Zhongshan Factory Production Ceasedown

Cessation Confirmation: Canon (China) officially confirmed that the Zhongshan factory ceased production on November 21, and employees are temporarily on leave until the 28th.

Core Reasons:

The global laser printer market continues to shrink, and the rapid rise of domestic brands is squeezing market share.

The popularization of paperless offices is accelerating industry transformation, leading to a sharp decline in demand for traditional office printers.

Operating Data: Established in 2001, the factory has produced a cumulative total of 110 million laser printers, with a total industrial output value of approximately 3.2 billion yuan in 2022. At its peak, it employed 10,000 people, but by 2024, the number of employees had decreased to 3,372. Employee Placement: As of November 30th, some employees have received compensation under their confidentiality agreements. The specific plan includes economic compensation and re-employment support.

Who Decides World Gold Prices?

The gold market experienced a dramatic plunge this week. Just one day after reaching a record high of $4,381 per ounce, spot gold prices(金価格)abruptly changed course on the evening of October 21, plummeting and breaking through the $4,100 mark, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013.

This violent fluctuation caught many investors off guard. In fact, every rise and fall in gold prices is closely related to its unique pricing mechanism and multiple influencing factors.

The “London Gold,” considered the global benchmark, has undergone a century-long evolution in its pricing mechanism. In its inception in 1919, “London Gold” was jointly determined by five major gold dealers, including the Rothschild family, through telephone negotiations within the “Gold Room.” This system relied on London’s position as the world’s gold trading center and operated through an over-the-counter trading model. The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), established in 1987, integrated the fragmented trading markets and established a unique delivery system based on 400-ounce gold bars, making London the global gold distribution center. In 2015, the pricing mechanism was reformed again. Through a modern electronic auction system, pricing meetings were held in the mornings and afternoons of weekdays in London, with the participation of several designated international banks, including HSBC and JPMorgan Chase.

The pricing meetings resembled a digital “gold auction”: banks collected buy and sell orders from global clients, continuously submitting bids on an electronic platform until a balance price was found that matched the most buy and sell orders. This final price became the LBMA gold benchmark price, immediately becoming the authoritative basis for pricing global spot gold trading and derivatives.

Factors Affecting Gold Prices

As a safe-haven asset that transcends economic cycles, gold price fluctuations are always closely related to core variables such as the global economic landscape, geopolitical risks, and monetary policy trends.

“Gold and silver are not naturally money, but money is naturally gold and silver.” This classic statement by Marx reveals the special status of gold in the monetary system.

During the gold standard era, the key to whether a country’s currency was accepted by other countries lay in the strength of its gold reserves. After World War II, leveraging its nearly 75% global gold reserves, the United States established the Bretton Woods system, centered on the dollar’s peg to gold, laying the foundation for the dollar’s credibility as the international reserve currency.

However, the decoupling of the dollar from gold in 1971 marked a significant turning point in modern monetary history. Subsequently, US Treasury bonds gradually replaced gold as the primary reserve asset for central banks worldwide. In recent years, with occasional signs of US Treasury default risk, cracks have begun to appear in the dollar’s credit system, prompting global central banks and investors to increase their gold holdings as a crucial tool for hedging against dollar credit risk—the underlying logic behind the sustained rise in gold prices since last year.

Beyond the changes in the dollar’s credit system, multiple factors are influencing the balance of gold: geopolitical tensions ignite investors’ safe-haven demand; unprecedented increases in global central bank holdings, coupled with continued accumulation by institutional investors, provide solid structural support for gold prices; and capital flows and market sentiment act as amplifiers, amplifying every subtle change in price fluctuations.

Returning to the recent “gold price plunge” that has attracted market attention, its direct trigger is precisely the imbalance in the short-term trading structure. The sustained rise in gold prices since September has led to a crowded gold bull market, accumulating substantial profits. When prices reached key levels, the concentrated profit-taking and exit of these positions ultimately triggered this technical correction.

History has repeatedly shown that gold’s long-term value coexists with the risk of short-term high-level volatility. In a noisy market, remaining calm and resisting the temptation to chase high prices is key to protecting wealth.

한국 무역흑자, 예상치 상회

한국의 2025년 10월 무역흑자는 전년 동기 31억 5천만 달러에서 60억 6천만 달러로 확대되어 시장 예상치인 29억 8천만 달러를 상회했습니다. 예비 자료에 따르면, 수출은 전년 동기 대비 3.6% 증가했는데, 이는 9월 12.7% 급증에서 크게 둔화된 수치로, 5개월 연속 수출 증가세를 기록했습니다.

한편, 수입은 9월 8.2% 증가에서 1.5% 감소하여 시장 예상치인 1.4% 감소를 상회했습니다.

世界の金価格が四半期ベースで過去最高値を記録

ワールド・ゴールド・カウンシル(WGC)が10月30日に発表した金需給統計によると、金需要は2000年の統計開始以来、四半期ベースで過去最高を記録しました。この急増は、米国の金融政策の影響、地政学的リスクを緩和するための安全資産への買い、そして金価格の急騰による投資資金の流入加速が要因となっています。一部のアナリストは、「上昇相場に乗り遅れるのではないかという懸念」が需要増加を後押ししたと指摘しています。 Continue reading