Los envíos de contenedores asiáticos a EE. UU. disminuyeron un 10 % en septiembre

Según datos recopilados por la firma de investigación estadounidense Descartes Datamyne, en septiembre se enviaron 1.696.044 contenedores desde Asia a EE. UU. (equivalentes a TEU), lo que representa una disminución del 10 % interanual. Esta es la primera vez en tres meses que los envíos caen por debajo de los niveles del año anterior, y la disminución de los envíos procedentes de China se está acentuando.

Los envíos de contenedores desde China continental a EE. UU. disminuyeron un 18 % interanual, un aumento significativo con respecto a la caída del 6 % registrada en agosto. El conflicto arancelario entre EE. UU. y China ha paralizado el transporte de mercancías.

Normalmente, de julio a septiembre las empresas se abastecen para la guerra comercial de fin de año en EE. UU., lo que provoca un aumento considerable en los envíos de mercancías. Sin embargo, debido a la incertidumbre en torno a las negociaciones arancelarias, algunas empresas adelantaron el envío de productos chinos o cambiaron sus proveedores a países fuera de China, lo que provocó una disminución significativa en los envíos originarios de ese país.

No obstante, los envíos de carga originarios del Sudeste Asiático y el Sur de Asia continuaron creciendo. Vietnam, segundo país después de China en envíos de contenedores a Estados Unidos, registró un aumento interanual del 19 % en septiembre. Los envíos desde India aumentaron un 2 % y los de Malasia un 86 %. Los envíos desde Tailandia disminuyeron solo un 1 %, una caída relativamente pequeña.

Por otro lado, los envíos de contenedores desde Corea del Sur a Estados Unidos disminuyeron un 18 %, desde Taiwán un 19 % y desde Japón un 11 %.

Por categoría de producto, el mobiliario, la categoría más grande en términos de volumen de envíos, disminuyó un 9 %. Los envíos de bienes de consumo, como juguetes y artículos deportivos (con una caída del 20 %), también se redujeron. Los productos electrónicos y eléctricos (con una caída del 18%) y los productos relacionados con la automoción (con una caída del 16%) también tuvieron un mal desempeño.

La Federación Nacional de Minoristas (NRF, por sus siglas en inglés) publicó su pronóstico de importación de contenedores el 8 de octubre, el cual indica que se espera que las importaciones estadounidenses de contenedores disminuyan un 12% interanual en octubre y un 19% en noviembre. Jonathan Gold, jefe de política arancelaria y de cadena de suministro de la NRF, señaló: «Dado que los minoristas ya se habían abastecido de importaciones antes de que entraran en vigor los aranceles, la temporada alta de este año prácticamente ha terminado».

9월 아시아발 미국행 컨테이너 선적량 10% 감소

미국 시장조사기관 데카르트 데이터마인(Descartes Datamyne)이 집계한 자료에 따르면, 9월 아시아발 미국행 컨테이너선은 1,696,044척(20피트 컨테이너 기준)으로 전년 동기 대비 10% 감소했습니다. 이는 3개월 만에 처음으로 전년 동기 대비 감소한 수치이며, 중국에서 출발하는 컨테이너선의 감소폭이 확대되었습니다.

중국 본토발 미국행 컨테이너선은 전년 동기 대비 18% 감소했는데, 이는 8월의 6% 감소폭보다 크게 확대된 수치입니다. 미중 관세 갈등으로 화물 운송이 중단된 상황입니다.

보통 7월부터 9월까지는 기업들이 연말 미중 무역전쟁에 대비해 재고를 비축하는 시기로, 이로 인해 화물 운송량이 급증합니다. 그러나 관세 협상을 둘러싼 불확실성으로 인해 일부 기업들이 중국 상품을 예정보다 일찍 선적하거나 중국 외 국가로 소싱을 변경하면서 중국에서 출발하는 선적이 크게 감소했습니다.

그러나 동남아시아와 남아시아에서 출발하는 화물 선적은 계속해서 증가했습니다. 중국에 이어 미국으로 향하는 컨테이너 선적량에서 2위를 차지하는 베트남은 9월에 전년 대비 19% 증가했습니다. 인도발 선적량은 2%, 말레이시아발 선적량은 86% 증가했습니다. 태국발 선적량은 1% 감소에 그쳐 비교적 소폭 감소했습니다.

반면 한국발 미국행 컨테이너 선적량은 18%, 대만발 19%, 일본발 11% 감소했습니다.

상품별로는 선적량 기준 가장 큰 품목인 가구가 9% 감소했습니다. 장난감, 스포츠용품(-20%) 등 소비재 관련 상품의 선적량도 감소했습니다. 전자 및 전기 제품(18% 감소)과 자동차 관련 제품(16% 감소) 또한 부진한 실적을 보였습니다.

전미소매업협회(NRF)는 10월 8일 컨테이너 수입 전망을 발표하며, 미국 컨테이너 수입이 10월에는 전년 대비 12%, 11월에는 19% 감소할 것으로 예상된다고 밝혔습니다. NRF의 공급망 및 관세 정책 책임자인 조너선 골드는 “관세 발효 전에 소매업체들이 이미 수입품을 비축했기 때문에 올해 성수기는 사실상 끝났다”고 지적했습니다.

アジア発米国向けコンテナ輸送量、9月に10%減少

米国調査会社デカルト・データマインのデータによると、9月のアジア発米国向けコンテナ船輸送数は1,696,044隻(20フィートコンテナ換算)で、前年同月比10%減少した。輸送量が前年を下回るのは3カ月ぶりで、中国発の輸送量の減少幅が拡大している。

中国本土発米国向けコンテナ輸送量は前年同月比18%減少し、8月の6%減から大幅に減少した。米中関税摩擦により貨物輸送が停滞している。

通常、7月から9月は、米国における年末商戦に備えて企業が在庫を積み増す時期であり、貨物輸送量の増加につながる。しかし、関税交渉をめぐる不確実性から、一部の企業は中国製品の出荷を前倒ししたり、調達先を中国以外の国にシフトしたりしたため、中国発の貨物量は大幅に減少しました。

一方、東南アジアおよび南アジア発の貨物量は引き続き増加しました。米国向けコンテナ貨物量で中国に次ぐ第2位のベトナムは、9月に前年同月比19%増加しました。インド発は2%増、マレーシア発は86%増加しました。タイ発はわずか1%の減少にとどまり、比較的小幅な減少となりました。

一方、韓国発米国向けコンテナ貨物量はそれぞれ18%、19%、11%減少しました。

商品別に見ると、出荷量が最も多い家具は9%減少しました。玩具やスポーツ用品(20%減)などの消費関連商品の出荷も減少しました。電子・電気製品(18%減)と自動車関連製品(16%減)も低調でした。

全米小売業協会(NRF)は10月8日にコンテナ輸入予測を発表し、米国のコンテナ輸入は10月に前年比12%減、11月には19%減少すると予想しています。NRFのサプライチェーン・関税政策責任者であるジョナサン・ゴールド氏は、「小売業者は関税発効前に既に輸入品の在庫を抱えていたため、今年の繁忙期は事実上終わった」と指摘しました。

Asian Container Shipments to the US Declined by 10% in September

Data compiled by the US research firm Descartes Datamyne shows that in September, the number of container ships shipped from Asia to the US was 1,696,044 (converted to 20-foot equivalent units), a 10% decrease year-on-year. This is the first time in three months that shipments have fallen below the previous year’s levels, with the decline in shipments originating from China widening.

Container shipments originating from mainland China to the US decreased by 18% year-on-year, a significant increase from the 6% decline in August. The US-China tariff conflict has brought cargo transportation to a standstill.

Normally, July to September is a period when businesses stock up for the year-end trade war in the US, leading to a surge in goods shipments. However, due to the uncertainty surrounding tariff negotiations, some businesses have shipped Chinese goods ahead of schedule or shifted their sourcing to countries outside of China, resulting in a significant decrease in shipments originating from China.

Cargo shipments originating from Southeast Asia and South Asia, however, continued to grow. Vietnam, which ranks second only to China in container shipments to the US after China, saw a 19% year-on-year increase in September. Shipments from India increased by 2%, and those from Malaysia increased by 86%. Shipments from Thailand decreased by only 1%, a relatively small drop.

On the other hand, container shipments from South Korea to the US decreased by 18%, from Taiwan by 19%, and from Japan by 11%.

By commodity category, furniture, the largest category in terms of shipment volume, decreased by 9%. Shipments of consumer-related goods such as toys and sporting goods (down 20%) also declined. Electronic and electrical products (down 18%) and automotive-related products (down 16%) also performed poorly.

The National Retail Federation (NRF) released its container import forecast on October 8th, showing that US container imports are expected to decrease by 12% year-on-year in October and by 19% in November. Jonathan Gold, the NRF’s head of supply chain and tariff policy, pointed out, “Because retailers had already stocked up on imports before the tariffs took effect, the peak season for this year is effectively over.”

홍콩 GDP, 2023년 이후 가장 빠른 속도로 성장

사전 추정에 따르면 홍콩 경제는 2025년 3분기에 전년 대비 3.8% 성장하여 전분기 3.1%보다 높은 성장률을 기록했습니다.

이는 수출 급증과 견실한 내수에 힘입어 2023년 말 이후 가장 높은 성장률을 기록했습니다.

상품 수출은 전자제품 수요 증가와 지역 무역 흐름에 힘입어 12.2% 증가했으며, 서비스 수출은 세계 주식 시장 상승세 속에 관광 경기 회복과 국경 간 금융 활동이 활성화되면서 6.1% 증가했습니다.

수입 또한 증가폭은 다소 둔화되었지만, 상품은 11.7%, 서비스업은 2.6% 증가했습니다.

내수 측면에서는 민간 소비가 2.1% 증가했고, 전체 투자는 4.3% 증가하여 경제 심리 개선과 부동산 시장 안정화에 기여했습니다.

계절 조정 분기별 GDP는 0.7% 증가했습니다.

El PIB de Hong Kong crece al ritmo más rápido desde 2023

La economía de Hong Kong creció un 3,8% interanual en el tercer trimestre de 2025, frente al 3,1% del trimestre anterior, según estimaciones preliminares.

Este es el mayor crecimiento desde finales de 2023, impulsado por un fuerte aumento de las exportaciones y una sólida demanda interna.

Las exportaciones de bienes aumentaron un 12,2%, respaldadas por la fuerte demanda de productos electrónicos y los flujos comerciales regionales, mientras que las exportaciones de servicios crecieron un 6,1%, impulsadas por la recuperación del turismo y la actividad financiera transfronteriza en un contexto de alza de los mercados bursátiles mundiales.

Las importaciones también aumentaron, aunque a un ritmo más lento: un 11,7% para los bienes y un 2,6% para los servicios.

En el ámbito interno, el consumo privado creció un 2,1%, mientras que la inversión total aumentó un 4,3%, lo que refleja una mayor confianza económica y la estabilización del mercado inmobiliario.

En términos trimestrales ajustados estacionalmente, el PIB creció un 0,7%.

Le PIB de Hong Kong connaît sa plus forte croissance depuis 2023

L’économie de Hong Kong a progressé de 3,8 % en glissement annuel au troisième trimestre 2025, contre 3,1 % au trimestre précédent, selon les premières estimations.

Il s’agit de la plus forte croissance enregistrée depuis fin 2023, portée par une forte hausse des exportations et une demande intérieure robuste.

Les exportations de biens ont bondi de 12,2 %, soutenues par une demande soutenue en produits électroniques et les échanges régionaux, tandis que les exportations de services ont progressé de 6,1 %, dynamisées par la reprise du tourisme et l’activité financière transfrontalière dans un contexte de hausse des marchés boursiers mondiaux.

Les importations ont également augmenté, mais à un rythme plus modéré : de 11,7 % pour les biens et de 2,6 % pour les services.

Sur le plan intérieur, la consommation privée a progressé de 2,1 %, tandis que l’investissement global a grimpé de 4,3 %, témoignant d’une confiance économique renforcée et d’une stabilisation du marché immobilier.

En données corrigées des variations saisonnières, le PIB a progressé de 0,7 % au cours du trimestre.

Myanmar’s KK scam rings continue to operate as usual

Following the Myanmar government’s large-scale crackdown on KK rings, locals reported that many KK ring workers moved to nearby rings, which continue to operate normally.

According to Thai media reports, another 100-acre (40-hectare) ring near Mae Thao Talai Village, not far from the KK ring, is still operating normally. Locals say at least a dozen rings between Myawaddy and Mae Thao Talai are operating normally, and that scammers who fled the KK rings have relocated to these rings.

With the ASEAN summit expected to discuss the crackdown on scams, Myanmar is under pressure to take a tougher stance against the rings. From October 24th to 27th, the Myanmar military carried out daily demolitions at the KK rings. The explosions were so powerful that they could be heard in Mae Sot, Thailand, and thick smoke filled the air for several minutes. Thailand stated that Myanmar had informed the Thai side of the crackdown in advance, and Thai officials used loudspeakers to warn residents near the border to exercise caution. The explosions reportedly did not affect Thai territory.

Reports indicate that while the KK campus was subjected to continuous blasting, operations at other nearby campuses were not affected. A staff member at a scam campus in Myawaddy stated that operations remained normal and employees were still able to access the company-provided internet. SpaceX previously announced it had cut service to over 2,500 Starlink devices at the KK campus, but the campus still had access to Mytel Telecom in Myanmar and fiber optic lines from Thailand.

Currently, due to the Myanmar government’s crackdown on scam campuses, the number of people leaving Myanmar and entering Thailand has risen to 1,525. Thai authorities expect the number of foreigners entering the country to increase further in the coming days. Authorities will discuss the issue with the National Security Council to determine the management protocols, legal procedures, and funding needed to handle the influx.

The United States and Japan Reaffirmed Their Commitment to Strengthening the Alliance

On October 28, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun hosted a regular press conference.

A Japanese TV reporter asked: US President Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi held their first meeting, during which both sides reaffirmed their commitment to strengthening the US-Japan alliance. What is China’s comment?

Guo Jiakun emphasized that due to Japan’s history of modern militarist aggression, Japan’s military and security developments have always drawn close attention from its Asian neighbors and the international community. This year marks the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War. We urge Japan to earnestly respect the security concerns of its neighbors, deeply reflect on its history of aggression, adhere to the path of peaceful development, and earn the trust of its Asian neighbors and the international community through concrete actions.

London Gold Price Breaks Through $4,200/ounce

On the 15th local time, international gold prices (金価格)continued their upward trend, supported by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and increased safe-haven demand driven by global trade tensions. London spot gold prices hit a new intraday high of $4,200.23 per ounce. New York gold futures were trading above $4,200 per ounce. As of 3:10 PM Beijing time on the 15th, London spot gold prices were at $4,200.14 per ounce, a 1.4% increase on the day.

December gold futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange were at $4,218.21 per ounce, a 1.32% increase on the day. So far this year, geopolitical and economic uncertainties, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, a surge in gold purchases by major central banks worldwide, and increased holdings of gold ETFs have contributed to a surge in international gold prices exceeding 55%. Analysts at Bank of America and Societe Generale recently predicted that gold prices will reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026, while Standard Chartered Bank has raised its average gold price forecast for next year to $4,488 per ounce.

Driven by the surge in gold prices, silver prices have risen rapidly this year. As of Monday’s close, London spot silver closed at $52.27 per ounce, a year-to-date increase of 76.53%, surpassing gold’s cumulative gains.